In the latest wave of yearly predictions, most analysts are touting
industrial stocks for 2013. One reason is because this group has
under-performed in the bull market of the past few years, and values are
relatively attractive. Another is that industrial companies generally
reflect the cyclical nature of the overall economy, which seems to be
improving. Most economists expect further US and global recovery in
2013, with double-dip recession fears fading in the rear view mirror.
Of
course, now that industrials have entered the spotlight, the obvious
plays have been bid up. The following chart of the NASDAQ Industrial
segment indicates the relatively flat return over the past two years
until the dawn of 2013.Learn how an embedded microprocessor in a smart card
can authenticate your computer usage and data. The recent 17% rise is
more than double that of the market in general in the past two months.
Engages
in the precision contract metal machining business in the United States
primarily for customers in the recreational vehicle, energy,
aerospace/avionics/defense, and bioscience industries. WSCI provides
single-source turn-key solutions, including engineering support, raw
material procurement, outside services, supplier management, precision
manufacturing and assembly and stocking of finished goods for large
volume customers under multi-year arrangements.
The company
recently reported a 43% sales increase in the first quarter of 2013 and a
310% increase in net income. This is no fluke as WSCI improved sales by
30% in the 2012 fiscal year, and it increased earnings by 64%. If
anything, business is accelerating.
From a value point of view,
it carries a trailing P/E of 10 and the stock, at its current price of
$6.15, has a market cap of 1.5 times its book value and about half of
its sales volume. It currently pays a very nice dividend yield of 2.6%.
The dividend represents less than 30% of earnings, so coverage is
reasonable, and there is room for distribution growth. So, with
exceptional growth, value and income yield, why has WSCI not
participated in the industrial rally?
Polaris is enjoying 12%
sales growth and that trend is expected to continue through 2014.
Obviously, the dependence on PII is a double-edge sword for WSI
Industries. If PII were to reduce orders, WSCI would be in trouble.
However, the engineering, tooling and volume requirements that WSCI
provides in this relationship make it difficult for competitors to step
in, or for PII to invest the capital to produce these precision
components in its own facilities. Even if PII made that change, it would
take some time for a WSCI competitor to be able to meet the growth
needs of PII. Smaller competitors are not capable of investing in the
appropriate technology, plant capacity and automation systems to be
competitive and meet customer expectations for superb quality.
To
deal with the growth expectations of its core customers, WSCI is
currently building an additional facility to double capacity, and that
should be on-line in July 2013. Management has stated that one-third of
the new plant will be occupied with existing orders upon completion.
The
dependence on Polaris is probably considered a negative by the market,
but the growth trajectory and relationship with that customer is
allowing WSCI to expand capacity and further separate from
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